Is the diamond industry truly collapsing? While the burden of the financial crisis is starting fade, although not truly behind us just yet, it seems that the diamond industry is still struggling to make do.
Diamond sales worldwide are plunging drastically, as indicated in De Beers' unprecedented drop of 99% in net profit during the first half of 2009. Namdeb, Namibia's biggest diamond producer, which reported a production of 2.1 million carat in 2008 and sales 24% higher than in 2007, foresees major challenges in 2009, and expects sales to drop 50%. The company, which is one of De Beers ' ventures, has also temporarily halted production in early-April, due to the drop in demand.
Although De Beers believes it can get back on track by performing massive layoffs and executing a reorganization plan, one has to wonder whether this is enough. The world is changing; even the diamond giant itself admits that the jobs it has eliminated due to the crisis will not be recreated once the crisis is over.
Meanwhile, Anglo American, which holds 45% of De Beers, has refused a merger proposal by its rival, Xstrata, insisting on staying independent. Such a merger would save up to $1 billion a year, Xstrata claims, but Anglo American believes it can survive on its own. Only problem is, now it has to prove it, and with weak results like De Beer's, it seems unlikely.
On the other hand, Russian diamond giant Alrosa recently declared its plan to sell $2 billion worth of diamonds in 2009. That is an admirable plan, but to whom is the company planning on selling the diamonds?
"A Diamond is forever", states the 60-year-old De Beers slogan, but empires come and go. If Anglo American eventually does succumb to Xstrata's merger, it could lead to an overhaul change in the diamond industry, and might finally take one of the major diamond company out of the picture, or at least change its status. If successful, it might lead other diamond giants to change their course and conform to mergers of their own, for example, the highly anticipated merger between Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton.
Perhaps the answer doesn't necessarily lie in the concept of mergers, but either way, cooperation between the different diamond groups is required. Heads of the industry, mainly De Beers, Rio Tinto, BHP, Alrosa and Harry Winston, realized this months ago when they decided to form the International Diamond Board, which is aimed at promoting diamonds and diamond jewelry in the consumer markets.
One thing is certain – diamonds need to make a comeback. Hopefully, it won't be long before the world's rich come out of their hiding and start buying luxury items again. The industry should also consider investing in more ordinary folks and coming up with creative ways to reach this population.
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